I wouldn’t characterize any facts in the quoted paper to be positive evidence that minke hunting is sustainable. The paper is about whale populations; it’s not, as far as I know, a model relating populations to hunting levels. The authors clearly aren’t sure what caused the fluctuations in whale populations during that period. Frankly, I don’t trust your characterization of the science at all.
Whale populations fell because of over-hunting; overhunting could not occur without hunting. There is a clear cause and effect relationship between the hunting that occured and the decline of the whales. The question is whether the hunting will again lead to over-hunting. I do agree that US. are among the nations with historical interest in whaling. US. has however been to the proverbial mountain and seen the light (or more probably enough Flipper and Willy -movies).
Today US wants to have all others to abstain from whaling. Is this possible at all, if we should follow your historical induction of the industrial whaling (as seen in the exchange with Simen and David)? Are the US really pro-hunting in disguise, who wants to have all the pieces of the action for themselves?The Law of the Sea states that the Law of the Sea doesn’t restrict the competence of international forums to limit the hunting of marine mammals at a level below the MSY.
However, IWC’s charter restricts IWC in this direction. It says that whaling should be managed in the interest of the whaling industry and the consumers of whale products. Since IWC breaks its own charter whaling countries have lost confidence in it.A scientific hunt is not study if it only exists as a thin pretext for hunting. So that leaves “management”. Management could mean hunting; it could also mean the type of thing that happens in the U.S. when deer are “amanged” by culling them when they overpopulate.
I think it is interesting that hunting was specifically not mentioned. Once again: do you deny that whaling caused the collapse of whale stocks such as, say, the blue whale stocks? Do you deny that there was a cause and effect relationship between over-hunting and the blue whale decline? If not, I don’t see what your point is. Over-hunting caused the decline of whale stocks, there is nothing post hoc ergo propter hoc about it.